The market has pulled back slightly in line with oil prices and with very limited foreign selling. What’s next ? Well the Fed is supposedly going to announce a few things this week, I expect for China to be stricter with its currency and that should alleviate concerns and with the dividend yield of the […]

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DoubleLine has come out with their latest quarterly commentary and given that they are the largest bond house in the world is worth a read. In the quarterly letter a lot spoken is things that we already know i.e. USD strength, China etc..but it’s just interesting to note their viewpoints on high yield debt, other […]

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B58bn for investment in fiscal year’s H2 — A total of 58 billion baht for investment in infrastructure megaprojects is expected to be drawn down in the second half of fiscal 2016, says the Public Debt Management Office (PDMO). (Bangkok Post, 19/1/16) GHB to expand loans for low-income people to Bt25bn from Bt20bn, after more […]

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Despite it being a start of a new year the same questions/scenarios remain… What if the ISM figures in the US stay below 50? Does it lead to a recession in the US? Forces the feds to not raise rates but instead cut them? If the USD declines? Oil prices recover? Capital flows back into […]

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As always, an incredibly enjoyable read! I still need to re-read this a few more times but here are some snippets and a link to the rest of the memo “Everyone knew” for years that the Chinese economy had been overstimulated with cheap financing, and that this had led to excessive investment in fixed assets. […]

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Towards the end of last week Mobius came out with a brief commentary on China and these are the two quotes that I feel are most important, the link to the full commentary is below… “It’s important to remember that China’s economy is a planned economy, something that I think has been overlooked by many […]

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And its that time of the year for the top 10 surprises from Byron Wein, while he’s never 100% correct (who is?) it’s always interesting to know the potential “what-ifs”. See below for the all 10 surprises plus a link to the rest of the article. Riding on the coattails of Hillary Clinton, the winner […]

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