Fun times this week! The BoT meets to discuss rates in Thailand, the Fed meets later in the week to discuss interest rates, volatility shall reign supreme. In the meantime, look at the beating taken by financials and property this year. If you believe that things will eventually recover by this time next year, […]

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We now joke that the military voted down its own constitution. Last week the NRC rejected the 2015 draft constitution with only 105 voting yes which is short of the 124 required to send it to a nationwide referendum. So what? Well elections are now definitely NOT happening in 2016 because this means things will […]

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…he said something about investing that I keep going back to: “It’s not supposed to be easy. Anyone who finds it is easy is stupid.” Source: Oaktree Capital Sit back, grab a cup of coffee and be prepared to spend your whole morning reading, re-reading, and highlighting this latest memo from Howard Marks.  

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CB Leaves Rates On Hold as Investors Look to Draghi for QE Hint – The European Central Bank left interest rates at record lows, shifting the focus to President Mario Draghi’s press conference for clues on whether he sees a need to step up stimulus. The 25-member Governing Council kept the main refinancing rate at […]

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A great article I just found on the FT’s website talking about how the changes in the Mekong trade are affecting Thailand’s trade with its neighbours, the key points are as follows: Credit-fuelled consumption booms in Laos and Cambodia have begun to soften, while Myanmar is diversifying its trading relationships. The result has been sharp falls […]

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Volatility reigns supreme these days in the financial markets and with the Fed meeting in the next week we have our doubts it will subside. The Thai baht itself has continued to weaken and passed 36 to the USD yesterday, and we wouldn’t bet against a further weakening for the rest of the year. Anything […]

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Consumer confidence hits 15-month low – The Ratchaprasong bombing, a dropping SET Index, and the sluggish economic growth in China beat down Thai consumer confidence to a 15- month low in August, with confidence in travel, investment and purchasing power hitting a 122- month low. (The Nation, 4/9/15) Economic stimulus set to boost premiums – […]

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Bill Gross’ latest paper is out and here are some snippets. The Fed, however, seems intent on raising FF if only to prove that they can begin the journey to “normalization.” They should, but their September meeting language must be so careful, that “one and done” represents an increasing possibility – at least for the next six months. […]

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A deadcat bounce? The Dow Jones and the S&P both dropped close to 3% last night, Thailand’s SET was flat most of yesterday until the last hour where it dropped -1.5% and this AM we see the China has decided to drop another 3% at the open. The police pay themselves the reward of THB […]

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