Research on Thai Markets in general and the SET Index
Thailand Ministry starts loan auctions, Legitimacy of decision in doubt – The Public Debt Management Office (PDMO) will kick-start the bridging-loan auction today in hopes of mobilizing funds to repay rice farmers by the end of this month. (Bangkok Post, 29/01/14) FTI: Manufacturing contribution to GDP to drop by 1% in 1Q14 — The Thai […]
Read More →There have been several articles going around that Emerging markets are in the beginning stages of 1997 Asian Financial Crisis part deux and how Thailand is going to yet again be affected. We’ve gone through each data point thrown our way but in the end we disagree for Thailand. Quite simply: I don’t see high […]
Read More →Out of curiouristy we did a quick backcheck of the past sectors that have driven the SET for the last 7 years. Upon seeing the results we do ask ourselves, why bother stock picking? We have to choose out of 550 companies a portfolio of 10 strong ideas, why not just pick a few strong […]
Read More →The market rallied strongly towards the end of last week driven purely by the Banking and Telco sector. We have our doubts on Thai banks attaining double digit growth rates for 2014, there’s no more corporate income tax to help the profit growth as there was in the past few years, and loan growth looks […]
Read More →Thailand EC head offers solution on FB — The head of the EC wrote on his Facebook account that there might be a solution to the current rice scheme problems, but the solution will have to wait until at least the 21st of this month before any action can take place. Rice farmers are angry […]
Read More →There’s been confusion amongst a lot of us about what on earth the State of Emergency means this time around. When the previous SoE was declared during the red-shirt riots, we had curfews and demonstrations were banned and the government and military enforced them. This time around these are the 5 measures for the State of […]
Read More →This is a question we get posed every year regarding our thoughts on the economy, the markets, which sectors are good/bad etc etc and while we make the necessary presentations with pretty powerpoint slides and insightful graphs, after being in this business for the past 8 years the best answer I can give is I don’t […]
Read More →The clever fellow that is Vincent Fernando over @ Religare put out his latest paper tracking ASEAN earnings, he states that “Thai 2014 earnings have been cut 6.1% over the last 6 months, but further cuts are likely. It appears as if 2014 numbers have yet to be cut in response to the worsening political […]
Read More →Last night the Government announced a State of Emergency, our first thoughts, other than being a bit more worried about violence, is what happenend to the market last time? The market had dropped just over -3% that day, the market backdrop is slightly different in that during 2010 the market was still rallying from the […]
Read More →This news article was emailed around by brokers yesterday that Thailand’s risk of default has increased, ok let’s sit back and take this all with a grain of salt, Thailand is a long way away from being a default risk, ample reserves are being held by the BOT, debt-to-GDP levels are still more than manageable, […]
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