Bt450bn budget deficit repeats. The state budget for fiscal 2020 is set at Bt3.2trn, up Bt200bn from fiscal 2019 ending Sep 20, 2019, with a budget deficit of Bt450bn equal to that of the previous fiscal year. (Bangkok Post, 05/01/19) Ministry set for first SEOM meeting here. The Ministry of Commerce will host the first […]

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The second week of the year has started with a positive note with the US and China looking to get together to have a conversation on how each countries needs’, desires, wants be satisfied. It is sure to be an interesting and amusing time period – in other words volatile – we’ll likely see strong […]

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Coronation day for King set for May 4-6. The coronation ceremony for His Majesty the King will be held during May 4-6, the Royal Household Bureau announced on Tuesday. (Bangkok Post, 01/01/19) Cost of firing staff cited as a ‘burden’. The high cost of severance pay given to employees is a financial burden on the […]

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No need for any introduction, here’s the full list, enjoy! Byron’s Ten Surprises for 2019 are as follows: The weakening world economy encourages the Federal Reserve to stop raising the federal funds rate during the year. Inflation remains subdued and the 10-year Treasury yield stays below 3.5%. The yield curve remains positive. Partly because of […]

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And so as of mid-day there has been some recovery in the Thai market (looks like it’s the only one up in the region). But the past 12 months it has been dismal, were it not for healthcare and energy the SET would’ve been down -15-20% for 2018 as you can see from the Sector […]

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Higher growth seen for final quarter of the year. Pisit Puapan, director of the Bureau of Macroeconomic Policy under the Fiscal Policy Office (FPO) and the FPO’s deputy spokesman, said the economy is expected to further expand at a growth rate of 3.3 per cent during the quarter as domestic demands grow while exports remain […]

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Public bus fares to rise from Jan 21. Fares for buses serving Bangkok will rise next month by at least one baht and interprovincial buses will charge 10% more to help operators cover rising fleet costs. (Bangkok Post, 14/12/18) FTA, GSP use rises sharply. The utilization rate of free-trade agreement (FTA) privileges and the Generalized […]

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And finally the energy sector has its turn to drop thanks to the incredible low bid by PTTEP for the two oil blocks. Perhaps finally the disconnect between PTTEP’s share price and oil prices will converge (in english – PTTEP drop’s another 20%)  Now if the BOT does increase interest rates will the prop funds/REITs […]

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French PM to detail Macron’s measures to appease ‘yellow vests’ The French government will Tuesday try to convince lawmakers and the public that President Emmanuel Macron’s speech met the demands of the “yellow vest” movement, even as many demonstrators said they were disappointed and vowed to press on with their protest. (AFP, 11/12/18) Beijing ‘offers […]

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And so the weakness continues…Oil prices can’t seem to recover even with OPEC deciding to do another cut. And the pre-election rally isn’t happening because there still isn’t a set firm date for the elections.  It’s going to be a tepid finish to the year. 

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