Research on Thai Markets in general and the SET Index
“Against the backdrop of continued financial stability concerns, the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) thus voted unanimously to reduce the policy rate by 25 basis points from 2.75% to 2.5% per year,” the…Â Source:Â Bangkok Post Argh! Yes I was surprised by the rate cut, we could see the bond market was expecting it, however I was […]
Read More →Japan dropping 7% in a day, a so-so 1Q13 earnings season, the first 3 months of the year had a baht that was too strong for most exporters and a market that had risen 17% YTD, can’t say we are too surprised. We normally expect for the market to drop for a period of 3-4 days […]
Read More →This is an interview from Barrons of Leon Cooperman and Steve Einhorn of Omega which manages USD 8.5 bn mainly in equities, so when these two share their viewpoints, one had better pay attention. There are a few thoughts I found interesting but the key comment that caught my eye was: Are you worried that the Fed […]
Read More →The market has been driven almost purely by the technology sector (advanc, dtac, and true) for the month as the sector as a whole is up +9.8% MTD and a whopping +160% over a 12 month period. This week the NESDB will release Thai 1Q13 GDP (which should be rubbish because of the baht’s strengthening), […]
Read More →This has been an ongoing debate since the beginning of this year. The conspiracy theorist inside thinks that the government just wants cheaper funding for its massive infrastructure plans. However I’d like to believe that the BOT will remain independant and I don’t expect interest rates to decline unless inflation declines for a couple quarters. […]
Read More →Fantastic new commentary out by Mark Mobius, he goes into talking about the fundamentals, foreign reserves and investment sentiment in emerging markets, see below for a snippet. According to the GISS, 58% of investors residing in developed markets believe their local stock market will be up this year, but investors in emerging markets were even […]
Read More →Its 1Q13 earnings season and YoY comparisons are looking good b/c of last year’s low base (just a few months post the floods in 4Q11), going forward with the BoT looking to curb ST investments in the bond market resulting in the Thai baht finally weakening and no news flow locally, we wouldn’t be surprised […]
Read More →Last week saw the SET bounce back strongly with global markets surging by better nonfarm payrolls than expected and a step down in the unemployment rate from 7.6% to 7.5%.
Read More →Thai Economy: MPC prefers policy mix to handle baht — The Bank of Thailand’s Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) has agreed on the need for a timely implementation of appropriate policy mix, to manage the exchange rate. In a statement released today, the MPC said that the policy mix “as warranted by circumstances” will be implemented […]
Read More →Positives Global Europe: Germany raises growth forecast — The German economy is expected to grow by 0.5% this year, up from the previous estimate of 0.4%, the German Economics Ministry announced on Thursday. German GDP is still expected to grow 1.6% in 2014, unchanged from previous growth prediction. (Xinhua, 25/04/13) US: In the week ending […]
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