Research on Thai Markets in general and the SET Index
The clever research folks of VOX, put out a brief paper analysing the relationship between government popularity and financial crises, not too surprisingly, emerging markets generally have a crash post incredibly popular governments, its a interesting good read, see below for more, enjoy. Our main finding is that ‘political booms’, defined as an increase in […]
Read More →Thailand Aid schemes set at B100bn a year – The military-appointed interim government’s policy of helping the underprivileged and farmers in sustainable ways will cost an estimated Bt100bn a year, says Finance Minister Sommai Phasee. (Bangkok Post, 19/09/14) Veg fests to boost Q4 growth – Thais are expected to splurge 27.7% more, or altogether Bt51.27bn […]
Read More →Last weekend’s Economist poised the question that is on some people’s minds, how long does the military want to stay in charge for? The junta’s moral underpinning is a brand of puritanical paternalism. A clean-up is in full swing intended to purge the informal economy of unregistered labour, smuggling, prostitution, gambling and drug-dealing. There is […]
Read More →The military, sorry I mean the government, has come out with a list of policies such as protecting the monarchy, education, ASEAN, etc etc but with no specific information as to how they are going to achieve this…in the meantime not much happening this week other than the Fed meeting on the 16/17 to likely […]
Read More →So the artificial floor in the market will be gone, fun times ahead in 2 years from now. Now Asset Management firms will have to focus on actually performing well, and the next thought that comes to mind is, what will the government do in terms of personal income taxes? The Finance Ministry will not […]
Read More →The Public Debt Management Office (PDMO) disclosed the details of the funding sources for the THB 2.4 trn infrastructure investment plan during 2015-2022. The breakdown is as follows: 45% (1.1 trn) funded by state enterprises loans 20% Government fiscal budget 20% PPP schemes 10% state enterprises’ CF 5% infrastructure funds All this with a debt covenant […]
Read More →Thailand Martial law won’t be lifted yet: PM – The National Council for Peace and Order is unlikely to lift martial law in the near future as groups campaigning against the junta have been detected both in Thailand and abroad. (The Nation, 06/09/14) Thailand signs MoU with Japan to promote trade — The Department of […]
Read More →Want to feel like a rock star investor? Get into the small IPO’s. Anyone who was able to get IPO’s this year has been feeling that way, excluding IPO’s where commercial bank’s were the underwriters (here’s looking at you KBANK and SCB). The basic framework for IPO’s performing well on their first day hasn’t changed, if […]
Read More →I’ve often wondered how much of my performance has been related to stock picking abilities, or I am just in a lucky place, in a country that has been growing well for the past decade and in a market that has increased some 300% since I begun working. Now the clever fellows over at Alpha […]
Read More →If you erase the debt record, we all go back to zero. It’ll create total chaos -Fight Club The moment I saw this headline, my mind somehow linked back to a quote from Fight Club. This is definitely one way of boosting credit growth in Thailand, erase all the bad debt records so that financial […]
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