So we’ve had the pullback…now what? I still think banks are a big question mark given the continuing decline in ROEs. The tech sector which is effectively True, Advanc and DTAC…cash flow, capex management game to maintain their dividend yields…I wonder what consolidation we can see here, i.e. who will eventually take out JAS for […]

PPRP toils to keep minnows in coalition : The Palang Pracharath Party (PPRP) has decided to award a “political position” to a small coalition party bloc as Prime Minister Prayut Chan-o-cha prepares to hold clear-the-air talks with the group later this week following their threat to withdraw support for the government. Bangkok Post State allays […]

So earnings have been $hit! Now yes some of it can be attributed to the new accounting policies, but looking across the board its been rather poor in Thailand for the majority of companies. The market is up just +5.5% for the year and its a bloodbath effectively across every sector ex REITs and ICT, […]

So reality is setting in again for the markets, here’s what you have coming…trade war impacts are going to hit the markets further. Currencies are going to continuously go a bit nuts. And hey 2/3’s of the debt outside the US are -ve yielding. Specific to Thailand…weak exports…tourism dropping YoY (but still pretty darn good), […]

Thai-EU free trade talks set to resume after hiatus : Thailand is returning to the negotiating table for a Thai-European Union (EU) free-trade agreement (FTA) after the green light was given by the new government, according to Auramon Supthaweethum, director-general of the Trade Negotiations Department. Bangkok Post Opinion poll gives thumbs up to FFP : […]

We’re still in the midst of 2Q earnings being released and so the activity is rather choppy with the usual rumour mills around names, until the inevitable 1) Sell on fact or 2) Things aren’t that crap after all; reactions. Globally, well the impacts of the trade war are going to look incredibly obvious in […]

Sontirat cools firms’ wage hike fears : Energy minister says campaign promise is not an urgent priority for his party . Businesses should not panic about a hike in the daily minimum wage, from 300 baht to 400-425 baht, because it is not an urgent priority for the Palang Pracharath Party (PPRP), says Energy Minister […]

The financial sector has started the earnings release and they look crap, zero loan growth, profit down, lots of write off’s. Amusingly the only decent looking bank in this quarter was KTB (note: BAY was good too, but quite illiquid), but that’s because of the massive write off’s they took in 2018.

FPO: Limited budget to fund populist policies : The Finance Ministry is looking to scale down the new government’s populist campaign promises, given the constraints of the available budget and a delay in the fiscal 2020 budget process. Bangkok Post BoT starts siege on hot-money flows : Baht weakens, SET shaken after announcement . The […]