Despite it being a start of a new year the same questions/scenarios remain… What if the ISM figures in the US stay below 50? Does it lead to a recession in the US? Forces the feds to not raise rates but instead cut them? If the USD declines? Oil prices recover? Capital flows back into […]

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As always, an incredibly enjoyable read! I still need to re-read this a few more times but here are some snippets and a link to the rest of the memo “Everyone knew” for years that the Chinese economy had been overstimulated with cheap financing, and that this had led to excessive investment in fixed assets. […]

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BIG BIG is budgeting Bt200-150mn to expand its business by opening more branches. It expects 2015 revenue to mark a record high and to pay its first dividend. It expects 2016 earnings to be good. (Thun Hoon, 14/01/16) Comment: I’ve been surprised by their continuing positive performance but I still have doubts on their sustainability […]

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Given that a few readers here like BJCHI, here’s the latest news out from the company “BOD has approved a share buy back up to THB 250 mn or 2.5% of issued shares (40 mn shares)” Source: SET From memory this is the fourth listed company in Thailand to embark on share buybacks in the past […]

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ABC ABC plans to invest in education business. It expects to sign an MoU with Lanna International School in Chiang Mai, valued at Bt150mn. It plans to launch the Bt2.5bn ABC Residence Sukhumvit39. (Khao Hoon, 13/01/16) Comment: Wait…weren’t they going to do IT? And then renewable energy? And now its an international school and property […]

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ACC ACC plans to take over a 5.5MW solar farm, valued at Bt320mn. It expects this to contribute Bt33mn net profit/year. It plans to issue warrants at a ratio of 4 shares per warrant. Management says it plans to focus on alternative energy business. (Thun Hoon, 12/01/16) Comment: Thats a fairly decent valuation given that […]

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Towards the end of last week Mobius came out with a brief commentary on China and these are the two quotes that I feel are most important, the link to the full commentary is below… “It’s important to remember that China’s economy is a planned economy, something that I think has been overlooked by many […]

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Notable Transactions Buy(s) THB 552MN BA – And he continues to buy, in this environment perhaps it is the safest option. TU – Looks like the owner doesn’t care about the botched M&A deal Sell(s) THB 608 MN KCE – I think this is a switch of shares between father and son DIMET – Quite […]

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AH AH expects 2016 sales to grow 5-6% backed by automotive sector recovery. It expects to increase revenue by focusing on making molds, which increases its gross margin. (Thun Hoon, 11/01/16) Comment: Rubbish, this company hasn’t performed for a decade. BJCHI BJCHI expects 4Q15 earnings to reach a record high aided by transfers and the […]

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