Research on Thai Markets in general and the SET Index
And the rally continues. Several clever analysts have shown that for the US markets a “bear market rally” could go on for 8 weeks. Our response is “we don’t know” Thai airways keeps going…hmmm, and SCB has cancelled their sharebuyback stating they want to help companies and individuals due to the Wuhan-Virus, or is there […]
Read More →Note: 2 weeks worth of rambling here Models There’s been a lot of chatter online, especially in the US and Europe regarding the forecasting of the wuhan-virus and the changes in forecasts on infections/deaths. Having built more than enough financial models in my career attempting to forecast the potential revenues/cashflows/profits etc of a company/industry my […]
Read More →B400bn fund to steady corporate bond market : The Bank of Thailand (BoT) insisted yesterday the planned establishment of a 400-billion-baht corporate bond fund managed by itself is a necessary instrument in stabilising the corporate bond market amid concerns about possible interference from economic experts. Bangkok Post Coronavirus aid rejectees raise ruckus at ministry : […]
Read More →B1.68tn to blunt Covid-19 : Stimulus to avert a repeat of 1997 crisis. The government has unveiled a fresh stimulus package worth 1.68 trillion baht, with plans to issue a set of executive decrees to implement the measure to cushion the blow from the coronavirus outbreak. Bangkok Post First outbreak subsidies due this week : […]
Read More →FOMO recovery rally continuessss. Now just imagine when 1Q #’s come out, yes earnings will look poor, same for 2Q, but all of Asia is up and running by then, Europe is opening up, and case numbers in the US drop and they start to open up…how long will those that sold wait to come […]
Read More →Howard Marks – Which way now? https://www.oaktreecapital.com/docs/default-source/memos/which-way-now.pdf Go read it, pure common sense, will he be this generations investment god replacing buffet? If so does that lead to a generation of worriers vs dreamers? What should I do? That’s a question I’ve asked myself and been asked several times over the past 4 weeks. Investment […]
Read More →TMBAM Eastspring debacle rattles market : Two mutual funds with an investment strategy focusing on foreign debt were torpedoed by panic selling. Two fixed-income funds of TMBAM Eastspring were a catalyst igniting a major redemption in Thailand’s mutual fund industry, to the point where the selling spree nearly sparked a liquidity crunch. Bangkok Post TMB […]
Read More →CPALL Share price has been weak, they’re part of the CP Funding vehicle to buy Tesco, but a share buy back is underway tomorrow. More interesting is the trend on twitter over the past month that the younger generation wants to avoid going to 7-11’s on Wednesday’s. I finally found an English article for this, https://prachatai.com/english/node/8399, […]
Read More →I’m just going to sound like a broken record for the next few weeks. Bear market rally (seems to be in process), then reality hits on how bad things are. But here’s one question….could the saudi’s and russians come together this week?
Read More →Aswin orders ‘soft lockdown’ in capital : Supermarkets to stay open, restaurants limited to takeaway, but other closures sweeping. Starting today, shopping malls and markets in Bangkok and adjacent provinces, except those selling food and essential consumer goods, have been ordered to close for three weeks in an effort to slow the spread of Covid-19. […]
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