BGRIM reassures sustainable earnings as 70% of total power generation capacity sells to authority, EGAT, only 130 corporate clients from total 1,500 companies in industrial estates Comment: These types of businesses should continue to be ok this year. EA sees no issue on Bt3b CD maturity this year, 1Q growth remained intact from higher contribution […]

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ADVANC sets Bt10-15b 1-year capex to expand 5G network, while Fitch said 5G capex is credit neutral. AOT cuts fix rent by 20%, waives minimum payment for revenue sharing for tenants only variable percentages applied from February 1,20 till January 31,21, stretching payment terms for operators in the airport for 6 months for payment due […]

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So The BOT has relaxed its rules on the property sector for the Loan to Value (LTV). Now the details are as follows: Effective date 20th Jan 2020 First home/contract units < THB 10 mn – 100% + 10% of top-up loans Second home/contract – 10% (previously 20%) downpayment for those that have a first […]

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BCP sets oil sales growth t/g this year at 6%, plans 60 new stations, mulls boosting non-oil revenue, including EV charging stations. Comment: All the petrol station co’s have been trying to push non-oil revenues over the past few years, the best has been PTT followed by PTG BGRIM CODed 4.8mw industrial waste pp, lifted […]

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So how much further can earnings deteriorate? Looking into my magic ball of future forecasts, I wouldn’t be surprised that by this time next year 1) Oil is +10-15% higher 2) Soft commodity prices recover 3) Coal prices are +20% or more, and 4) spreads for certain petrochems improve as well. I see that commodities […]

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Notable Transactions It’s interesting to see that there are several owners/directors buying their shares post 3Q19 #’s Buy(s) THB 195 mn RS – Strange, he first sells at 13, and then buys back more at 12.84 ORI – The family is still buying shares. Sell(s) THB 54 mn RS – See above

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And so all 3Q #’s are out, guesstimate is that they are -19% YoY for the market. What’s left for this week? Well its politics fun time! On the 20th November the country will learn whether or not FFP will be disbanded as a political party. My thoughts? This would be positive for the markets […]

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Notable Transactions Buy(s) THB 414 mn ACE – A director/family member buys a massive amount of shares ORI – Family member continues buying SNC – Ohhh the owner is back to buying shares! Sell(s) THB 16 mn N/A It appears that with 3Q19 earnings all released management are back to buying their shares.

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KTB says to miss 5% loan growth target this year, after 3% growth 9M19, sets 3.2% growth target next year, to lower NPL from current Bt106b to below Bt100b. IRPC to complete 2 M&A deals next year, PP Compound Downstream and MARS. ERW cuts FY19 hotel revenue growth target to 3-5% yoy from 7-10% previous […]

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So the government has come out with the another round of property stimulus measures, and here are the details: On October 22nd, 2019, the Cabinet approved a temporary reduction in transfer fee from 2% to 0.01% and mortgage registration fee from 1% to 0.01% to those home buyers of up to Bt3m/unit. It will last […]

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