On the road for 4 of 5 weeks – great time for random thoughts and notes… Commodity cycle for dummies Owned the commodity names from 2020-2023, then own the capex beneficiaries of the commodity names from 2024-2027, then own the names that benefit from the decline of commodity prices as supply hits the globe, 2028-2035, […]

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AOT’s offering discount campaign for airlines (commercial/charter) who able to add on extra int’l flights aside from current allocated flight slots to 6 airports under AOT mgt, Bt175 landing fee discount will be given for every 1 additional increase passenger, reduction will be given up to 75% of landing fee for that extra flight, prog […]

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BGC reaffirms 10% full year revenue growth target supported by strong demand bottles & label on improved tourism, lower energy costs yoy, expects positive momentum carry thru high season in 4Q. Comment: Ah, if the liberalisation of the alcohol industry goes ahead, how hurt would BGC’s growth prospects be? Or will they be able to […]

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AOT: expects full year revenue reaches pre-Covid level above Bt62b driven by positive momentum from aero & non-aero rev, SAT-1 terminal on track to cod upcoming Sept. CHASE: reported Bt1.6b bad debts purchased for Bt150m during 4M23, aims to seal 2 more deals before end of 2Q. Comment: The first time they’ve bought something in […]

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AAV plans to resume operation of 8 aircrafts that were idled during pandemic after advance booking have demonstrated strong momentum. Comment: A great sign for tourism and hopefully lower ticket prices ! AH upbeats 1Q earnings from delivery of Ford Ranger model change, higher OEM parts sales yoy from improved market. BA’s temporary suspended 2 […]

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BAFS sees 2Q jet refuelling +19% yoy (673m liter), firms on Bt3.3b full year revenue target +101% yoy.BAFS to return to profit next year, sees solid recovery ib jet fuel sales in 2Q from reopening and PP business. Comment: Goes without saying, you don’t need tourist #’s to recover immediately, just # of flights. ITEL […]

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ADVANC sees 2H turnaround from larger revenue from roaming service on recovery demand for travel, sees positive momentum in upmarket & corporate solutions, maintaining 4-6% FY22 revenue growth target. Comment: No one (except for this one incredible lady who is reading this) comments on the fact that ARPU’s for 5g are rubbish. AS will launch […]

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BBL, BAY, TTB & UOB lodged bid for Citi retail assets in TH; KBANK & SCB drop out, estimated price goes as high as Bt70b, tabloid. BGRIM: in talk M&A domestic & overseas power plants total 500mw, expected to wrap up within 4Q, lifts total capacity above 3,400mw, firms on 15% revenue growth target. Comment: […]

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BIZ issue free warrant (BIZ-W1) to existing holders at 10:1 GLOCON: 67.55m new shares from warrant exercise (GLOCON-W4) 1:1 @ Bt0.5/share tradable tomorrow. Comment: They’ve just acquired a meatball producer for ~THB 500 mn KBANK & TTB may report today, Bt8.24b & Bt2.09b consensus.  Comment: Every bank has lower provisions, thank you BOT for allowing […]

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AS launches new game, Real Yulgang mobile, in TH & Cabal M in Philippines, eyes 15-20% revenue growth target. ILINK sees solid 3Q on seasonal for cable and fiber optic with additional new clients, keeps Bt6b revenue target this year. Comment: Basically all the projects that were supposed to have won 3-4 years ago are […]

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