So a plethora of economic news regarding Thailand has come out over the past week and it all has pointed to the same direction which is a slowdown in growth for the country So a quick summary of whats happened: Retailers are revising down growth targets across the board (Bangkok Post) Agriculture – growth expected […]
Read More →The National Economics and Social Development Board (NESDB) reported that the Thai 2Q12 GDP expanded +4.2YoY%, improving from the +0.4% YoY in 1Q12 and on a quarterly basis expanded +3.3% QoQ. Chart 1: Thailand quarterly & Annual GDP Growth YoY% Chart 2: Thailand’s Quarterly GDP Growth YoY% Key drivers appear to be: Consumption +5.9% Investments: […]
Read More →1Q12 GDP just released this AM, growing + 0.3% YoY vs consensus -0.5% YoY, and up +11% QoQ. Just briefly consensus estimates for the year are as follows: GDP Growth: 5.5-6.5 % Inflation: 3.5%-4.0% My thoughts? Nice quick recovery from the disastrous 4Q11 where Thailand was economically devastated by the floods. We’ll go through the […]
Read More →So the flooding back in Thailand had a far worse impact on GDP versus what all analysts and economy agencies expected. The National Economics and Social Development Board (NESDB) reported the Thai 4Q11 GDP slumped -9.0% yoy, to the lowest in the past 53 quarters and much below the market estimate of -5.0% yoy. Compared […]
Read More →Over at my friend’s Ake’s website, www.chartingthailandeconomy.com, he put up a little graph showing a big downward revision for 2011 growth. Well look, the post-flood recovery progress begun in December 2011 with factories and industrial estates restarting and the government’s plan for rehabilitation (including the THB 350 bn flood reconstruction and water management plan) won’t […]
Read More →Ake, a former colleague of mine from TSCAP days, has started a great informative site charting the economic developments of Thailand, www.factforthought.com, and has graciously allowed me to use some of his slides for presentations and for on here as well. Due to the flood crisis in Thailand, downgrades for Thai 2011 GDP are to […]
Read More →In my relatively short investment career in Thailand, I’ve seen the country experience the bird flu pandemic, tsunami in phuket, military coups, capital controls, riots, global financial crisis, swine flu, more riots, airport shut down, and yet this wonderfully silly country just somehow seems to always recover both in terms of economic performance and stock […]
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