Commentary on special events in Thailand and the SET Index.
Byron Wein August 2018 His latest monthly letter is outttt and here’s a few interesting snippets and a link to the rest of the piece Today there are fewer public companies in the U.S. than at any time over the last 40 years. The peak year for public markets was 1996, when over 8,000 companies […]
Read More →Howard Marks Memo I am still digesting my thoughts with his latest memo.  I do not know if I necessarily agree with each and every point that he makes I see computer decision making as a function of human decision making. Because it is programmed by humans based upon the rules instilled within a […]
Read More →A lot of deals have taken place in the past few months, we’ve had a change of major shareholders in NOBLE, GLOW being acquired by GSPC, and LH’s founder going for another 10% in his co. And now the latest one is SPALI w/ MK, although granted back in the day a related family member of […]
Read More →Momentum This is still a thought in progress, thus excuse the usual typos/grammatical errors etc etc … but the idea of momentum (effectively I’m thinking of a derivative of Soros’ Theory of reflexivity) is an interesting phenomenon. There is something to be said about the nature of momentum for a company’s business and thus its […]
Read More →And it’s outttt, here’s my fav snippets and a link to the rest of the commentary We believe that the current business cycle has at least several more years left to run. The major signs that would herald the beginning of the next recession are not yet in place. Unemployment is low and likely to […]
Read More →Fun times at SCB First the media notes that “The report said the central bank played a role in recommending Mr Boontuck to sit on the board and probe the bank’s heavy lending to three companies: Sahaviriya Steel Industries Plc, Pace Development Corporation… “ Source:Â https://www.bangkokpost.com/business/news/1480809/boontuck-joins-scb-board SCB has retorted that “Recent media reports have suggested that […]
Read More →JFinCoin & JMART I wanted to give this a few weeks before writing about it to see if there would be anything positive. Unfortunately for them not, the ICO performed poorly and is down some -50% from its initial offering price. The perfect world scenario was that it would pop well on the first day […]
Read More →Potential Changes to the SET50 and SET100 These names have not been confirmed yet but brokers are expecting that these will be the changes. SET50 Expected Additions: BGRIM, DELTA, ESSO, KTC, RATCH Expected Deletions: BCP, KCE, PSH, TPIPP, WHA SET100 Expected Additions: BLA, ERW, MBK, PRM, PTL, RS, THANI, VGI Expected Deletions: ANAN, BA, BIG, […]
Read More →Oil Stocks: So we all know that oil pries have recovered in the past 2 years from a low of ~25 to ~70 today. But when we look at the European index for oil stocks versus just PTTEP we scratch our heads…how is is that PTTEP has outperformed? Bongkot/Erawan is just a replacement/continuation, oil pries […]
Read More →And he’s out with his May Commentary, several interesting points here, here’s a few snippets and a link to the rest of the paper. I remain of the view that 2018 will be a positive year for equities, primarily because of performance in the second half and driven by earnings growth. The tax cut should […]
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