BAY expects 1Q loan growth shrink more than 10% yoy, sees sharp declines in new home sales, roll-out refinance package to draw mortgage clients. Comment: 1Q20 is a recession quarter, 2Q20 is still up in the air, 2H20 is, I suspect, a recovery period, and 1Q21 everyone will look amazing compared to the year before […]
Read More →So oil markets have their own rollercoaster with the Saudi’s and the Russian’s not cutting output and potentially ramping it up production instead. And so as of midday 09/02 PTTEP is -29%, PTTGC is -25%, and PTT is -24%. Who said large caps are safer? SET is back to where it was in … 2012? […]
Read More →Notable Transactions Note: The buying by directors/management has started post FY19 announcements, expect to see this continue. Buy(s) THB 149 mn EA – A director buys a chunk. Sell(s) THB 71 mn BDMS – A sale to whom? It’s a decent size
Read More →BoT warns of GDP growth below 1%: Odds of technical recession depend on how long coronavirus spreads, says bank official. The Bank of Thailand says the economy is likely to expand by less than 1% in 2020 if the coronavirus outbreak lasts throughout the year, says a central bank senior official. Bangkok Post Great Wall […]
Read More →AAV urges govt to roll out rescue package to save operation costs of airlines and tourism operators aside from tourism promo campaign as virus persist. Comment: Not sure why a private company should rely upon a government bailout… BCPG expects FY20-25 EBITDA growth above 75% driven by contribution of 2 power projects in Laos combined […]
Read More →APCO target 70% revenue growth this year driven by sales of medical supplies on the back of Covid-19. Comment: TQM seems to be the name that the retail market has liked for this. BAY sees heavy debt load on GEN Z new grads age 21-24, stringent on consumer credits to curb NPLs Comment: I think […]
Read More →ADVANC launches commercial 5G on mobile phone, the 1st in Asean, offers 5G roaming in Switzerland and UAE. Upbeat outlook from strong data traffic as demand for work from home, allots Bt15b capex to expand network. Comment: I’m hearing the same questions today about 5G as I heard about 3G and 4G. “Whats the point […]
Read More →AOT to announce winner for Bt13b SIA’s 3rd runway projects and satellite terminal on March 9. AWC target 15% CAGR over next 5 years, sets 5 year capex at Bt30b to expand hospitality and commercial projects. BANPU sees profitable this year from -Bt553m loss in 2019, expecting turnaround in coal, utility and gas business. Comment: […]
Read More →Note: I think we are going to see a lot of management buying now that FY #’s are out and the blackout period for buying is over. Notable Transactions Buy(s) THB 221 mn QTC – Management buys a fairly large amount of shares here. PCSGH – The owner is back into buying mode. Sell(s) THB […]
Read More →What a start to the year… Got your shopping list ready? Close your eyes and accumulate over the next few months. You’ll be reading about two things from the economists: 1) Supply Shock – This will come back online faster than people expect and most likely the China + 1 model will become stronger, expect […]
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