AAV upbeats FY24 earnings as TH-China flights jumped 3 fold following visa wavier became effective, upside from BKK (DMK) – Beijing route, mulls adding 3k seats domestic & international flights to capture travel demand during Songkran festive in Apr, aims to keeps LCC market share within 35-40% range, lower exp on interest & aircraft upgrade […]

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On the road for 4 of 5 weeks – great time for random thoughts and notes… Commodity cycle for dummies Owned the commodity names from 2020-2023, then own the capex beneficiaries of the commodity names from 2024-2027, then own the names that benefit from the decline of commodity prices as supply hits the globe, 2028-2035, […]

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CRC sees >20% sales growth in 1Q on Easy E-Receipt program, sets Bt500m for the Great Chinese New Year 2024 from Jan 10 – Feb 20. Comment: I would like to see a government remove this type of fiscal stimulus to know what real demand is. CMAN with KMC Indian JV to build world class […]

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AP maintains aggressive launch plan in 4Q, total 23 projects worth Bt35.74b comprise of 11 townhome (Bt11.05b), 9 SDH (Bt16.45b), 2 condo (Bt7.3b) & 1 upcountry projects (Bt940m), will kick-off presales of Bt2.3b condo 29 storey 593 units, Aspire Vibha-Victory, on double day 11.11. Comment: The decent listed players are doing far better than most […]

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It’s been months since my last Random Thoughts, I’ve found a bunch I saved on evernote…so sit back, grab a patongo and enjoy. Models – poorly borrowed from Dilbert’s creator, Scott Adams, and modified slightly. Thailand – international bonds issuance? https://www.bangkokpost.com/business/general/2670539/thailand-eyes-international-bonds Thoughts: This, to me, is an important indicator for Thailand – 1) domestic liquidity […]

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CIVIL upbeats 4Q earnings from Bt1.38b highway project transfer to Department of Highway, Bt23.92b backlog assures earnings visibility. COTTO: 3Qnp @ Bt210m, +55% yoy, thanks to lower energy costs for tiles & building material production, sales +4% yoy, board approved investment in production line of stone plastic composite (SPC) capacity 1.8m sq.m. p.a. at Hinkong […]

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CPALL to sell 3 tranches of CD rating A+, interest rates w/in 3.55-4.4% range, open for subscription on Oct 9-11 & Oct 26-30. Comment: It’ll be interesting to see if CP(take)all’s CD’s easily sell out – of course we all expect that it will. CRC to launch wholesale business, GO Wholesale, in Oct to boost […]

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ANAN mulls 5 new remedy options for Ashton Asoke for court consideration. Comment: The CEO & Board should be sued by shareholders, they lied pre-covid that this issue was resolved. DMT reaffirms 30% FY revenue growth target driven by strong tollway traffic, target FY average daily traffic >110k trips/day. BCP board approved Bt9.30-Bt9.70/share for ESSO […]

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AS board approves purchase of 9.22% stake in Bitkup Online for Bt600m. Comment: Probably pushed by SABUY, buying bitkub at 20x PE…ok…and remember that SCBXXX offered thb 30-40 bn 2 years ago, found a whole lot of financial shenanigans and then walked away, so now bitkub is valued at thb 6bn…a steal!!!!!!!!! idiots.. CENTEL sees […]

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ACG sets Bt300m to expand AutoClik (Fast-Fit) branches to 20 this year, from 13 currently, and 30 by end of 24, to open its 13th in Phuket today. Central Marketing Group (CMG), a unit of CRC, and a leading distributor of >40 top global brands in fashion, beauty, watches, and tech segments, anticipates revenue growth […]

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